colinstein 294 Posted March 25, 2017 Share Posted March 25, 2017 what's xG and ExpG ? 0 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rousseau 9,484 Posted March 25, 2017 Author Share Posted March 25, 2017 (edited) what's xG and ExpG ? ExpG or xG stands for Expected Goals. It measures how many goals an average team would have scored with the amount and quality of shots created. Each goal scoring attempt is assigned a number based on the chance that this attempt produces a goal. It just shows how many goals a team should score for the quality of the chances they've created. Each time the line (blue, from left to right) jumps up indicates where/when we created a chance. Some chances were missed, others taken; some were better quality chances than others. The 3.09 suggests we would've been expected to score 3 goals over the game. Clearly we did better than that last weekend. Generally under MW we've been averaging around 2 per game, but we've really struggled to take our chances so have struggled to score more than 1. Edited March 25, 2017 by Rousseau 0 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
pete 2,499 Posted March 25, 2017 Share Posted March 25, 2017 what's xG and ExpG ? You don't know that. Neither do I. 0 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rousseau 9,484 Posted March 25, 2017 Author Share Posted March 25, 2017 Incidentally, football shows/games in the American MLS now provide audiences with the xG to show many goals teams should score depending on the chances created. We may see it more often over here soon too. 0 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gaffer 1,665 Posted March 25, 2017 Share Posted March 25, 2017 Really enjoy reading these threads Rousseau. How quickly is this data available to you after games? 0 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
colinstein 294 Posted March 25, 2017 Share Posted March 25, 2017 so does that graph mean we made 11 chances and took 4 of them ? 0 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rousseau 9,484 Posted March 25, 2017 Author Share Posted March 25, 2017 (edited) Really enjoy reading these threads Rousseau. How quickly is this data available to you after games? I just put a request in to @11tegen11 (11tegen11.net) on Twitter. I asked last week, but he'd only got round to doing it. I think he can do them quite quickly -- some requests were fulfilled the same day. I don't know how hard it is to get the Scottish data, though -- I can never find any! Edited March 25, 2017 by Rousseau 0 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rousseau 9,484 Posted March 25, 2017 Author Share Posted March 25, 2017 (edited) so does that graph mean we made 11 chances and took 4 of them ? The graph does show we created 11 chances, but most were very difficult chances that we were unlikely to score -- the chances of a long range shot or shots from tight angles etc. are very small. Over the course of the game -- averaging it out -- we were expected (xG) to score 3; clearly we did better than that -- which is better than we've done all season. Edited March 25, 2017 by Rousseau 0 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
colinstein 294 Posted March 25, 2017 Share Posted March 25, 2017 is the size of the step on the line related to the opportunity....like big step, big chance 0 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rousseau 9,484 Posted March 26, 2017 Author Share Posted March 26, 2017 is the size of the step on the line related to the opportunity....like big step, big chance Yes, exactly. It's just another stat. I think it does a good job of showing how well a team does in creating chances in a game. It's always been very subjective when fans discuss it after games. 0 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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