Rangersitis 0 Posted June 29, 2015 Share Posted June 29, 2015 We had 15 possible opponents in the south section and we could have drawn any of them home or away, so before the draw started that was say 30/1 that we'd draw Hibs at Easter Road. Multiply those odds by the fact that we drew them in the 1st round last season and those odds get even bigger. In a random draw, the chances of drawing Hibs was no different to the chances of drawing any other team. It's like the lottery. The odds on 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 and 8, 14, 19, 32, 41, 49 are equal. It does seem obvious that the draw was fixed for reasons of television coverage at a time when there is no other football being played. 0 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
pete 2,499 Posted June 29, 2015 Share Posted June 29, 2015 I read somewhere that someone had won millions in the Lotto for a second time. What are the odds on that happening. 0 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
trublusince1982 243 Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Numbers I'm the lottery don't come out evenly. For some reason certain numbers come out far more frequently. 0 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
calscot 0 Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 Numbers I'm the lottery don't come out evenly. For some reason certain numbers come out far more frequently. There are always fluctuations in any series of random events, over time, with large numbers of events, it all evens out to close to the expected probability distribution. If there is bias in the system, that will also eventually show, but with the lottery, they have put a lot of effort into keeping it pretty much a flat distribution and so I doubt there will be more than slight perturbations in the long term. I've written a load of statistical simulations which show this. In fair throws of a coin you could get 20 heads in a row but over say a hundred thousand, it will get very even. Do it often enough and you could get a thousand in a row, but over the whole series, it will still come out pretty even. The fluctuations you see will on average peak at the square rood of the number of samples. 0 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
buster. 4,808 Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 In a random draw, the chances of drawing Hibs was no different to the chances of drawing any other team. It's like the lottery. The odds on 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 and 8, 14, 19, 32, 41, 49 are equal. It does seem obvious that the draw was fixed for reasons of television coverage at a time when there is no other football being played. I saw the draw being conducted and I'd remove your "obvious" and replace it with 'predictable online bullshit'. It is very common for teams to get drawn against each other a disproportionate amount of times within a relatively short time period. eg. for Rangers in recent years,........ read Dundee Utd in the Scottish Cup and Falkirk in various. 0 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rangersitis 0 Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 I saw the draw being conducted and I'd remove your "obvious" and replace it with 'predictable online bullshit'. It is very common for teams to get drawn against each other a disproportionate amount of times within a relatively short time period. eg. for Rangers in recent years,........ read Dundee Utd in the Scottish Cup and Falkirk in various. You could also replace it with 'predictable offline bullshit' as I said the same in 'real life' to a mate of mine. 0 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveC 150 Posted June 30, 2015 Share Posted June 30, 2015 (edited) I read somewhere that someone had won millions in the Lotto for a second time. What are the odds on that happening. They won the millionaire raffle part of it twice - the odds must be in the billions. Edit - after some research (i.e. typing it into Google), Camelot claimed that it was a 283 billion to 1 shot, but: http://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/euromillions-double-winners-chances-of-winning-twice-might-not-be-as-slim-as-they-seem-10152213.html Edited June 30, 2015 by SteveC 0 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zappa 0 Posted July 1, 2015 Author Share Posted July 1, 2015 For anyone who doesn't go to Easter Road, this will be shown live on BBC Alba. 0 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
BEARGER 1,829 Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 @spfl: Fixture amendment | BBC ALBA will show @HibsOfficial v @RangersFC in the @Petrofac_Cup on Saturday July 25, kick-off 12.30pm #SPF 0 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whosthedado 1,504 Posted July 1, 2015 Share Posted July 1, 2015 First fixture of the seaon changed already for TV - ominous signs....... 0 Quote Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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